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| THE LOMBORG STORY |
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The functioning of the
Environmental Assessment
Institute
The new National Environmental Assessment
Institute (in Danish: IMV = Institut for MiljøVurdering) was due
to start functioning during the spring of 2002. The number of
members of the board of governors was to be raised to 7, and the
staff increased to 10. By June 1st 2002, this had been
accomplished.
Lomborg was not content with a staff of only
10, and in the late autumn of 2002 he tried to have the
government increase the appropriations for 2003. According to
newspaper articles, the Minister of the Environment was not at
first willing to do this, but Lomborg contacted the prime
minister, who overruled this decision and demanded that Lomborg
have his way. This seems to demonstrate the close connection
between Lomborg and the prime minister. By 2004, the staff at the
Institute comprised the director (Lomborg), plus 15 graduates, 3
non-graduates, and 7 student assistants.
The Institute published its first reports in
August 2002, and since then a series of reports have appeared.
After UVVU issued its verdict on 7th Jan.
2003, the Board of Governors had a crisis meeting on 13th Jan.
They decided to continue their support for Lomborg. Next day,
14th Jan., a Danish newspaper had an interview with Lomborg, in
which he declared that he had no intention of fulfilling his
5-year contract with the Institute. "I have been shocked at
how much time I spend on staff development, salaries and on
deciding the colour of the door in the Institute. Actually, I
would rather read reports and think clever thoughts. The job of
director is too much about other things than the substance."
So Lomborg said that he intended to return to his job at Aarhus
University. However, he wanted to stay at the Institute for about
a year in order to carry out a secret project.
These statements were too much for one member
of the board, Poul Harremoës. Harremoës (who died later in
2003) was an internationally acknowledged expert in pollution
control technology, and probably the most respected member of the
board. When he announced on 15th Jan. that he had decided to
leave the board in protest, this made a considerable impression
on the public. Another scientist was appointed to replace him.
In the autumn of 2003 the public learned what
Lomborg´s "secret project" was. This was an
international conference, to be held in Copenhagen in May 2004,
with the title "The Copenhagen Consensus". Here a
series of "leading economists" (all but two from USA)
would discuss "the 10 greatest problems facing humanity
today" and give them an order of priority. Only one of these
problems (climate change) can be considered an environmental
issue, and so most of the members of the board of the Institute
felt that the project was outside their field of knowledge. They
would not be able to guarantee the quality of the conference.
There was also a suspicion that the true purpose of the
conference would be to have Nobel Prize winners declare that
protection of the environment is relatively unimportant and
should be downgraded. On 27th Nov. five out of seven members
therefore announced that they would leave the board. This means
that, from that date, only 2 board members remained.
Surprisingly, Ole P. Kristensen, the chairman who originally
appointed Lomborg, also left the board, which means that after
this, the board had no chairman.
However, Lomborg and the Danish prime minister
denied that there was a problem. A new board would be appointed.
Nevertheless, the three resigning scientific board members were
forced to meet the prime minister and explain their motives. The
prime minister demanded that three new scientific members be
appointed at once, and that relevant persons be forced to sit on
the board, if necessary against their will. However the
institution charged with this task has refused to do so before a
new chairman was found. By the end of February 2004, a new board
of 7 members had been appointed, none of whom were now
scientists.
There are also problems concerning the output
of the Institute. Some Institute reports have been criticised,
and, to pre-empt such criticism, it was decided that reports be
reviewed by external experts before publication. This did not
reduce the unrest, however. A report from December 2002 made a
cost-benefit analysis of whether the poorest qualities of
wastepaper should be burned or should continue to be returned for
recycling. Out of two reviewers, one accepted the report, whereas
the other pointed out a large number of flaws. This report was
then published, including the statements of the positive reviewer
but totally ignoring the points made by the negative reviewer.
This was brought to the attention of the public.
A report from October 2002 made an economic
cost-benefit analysis of deposits on disposable bottles and cans.
It concluded that it would be better to abandon the deposit
system and to let the bottles and cans be burned together with
other household garbage. However, it turned out afterwards that
many of the Danish incineration plants operate at temperatures at
which aluminium cans will not burn, but only melt, and that the
cans would pose a great economic problem for them.
As a consequence of such criticism, a
committee was formed in March 2003 to evaluate the reports issued
by the Environmental Assessment Institute during the second half
of 2002. The chairman was a Danish professor of economics, and
the other four members were experts from Sweden and Norway. Their
evaluation was published on 26th Aug. 2003. They stated that they
did not want to evaluate the first 3 reports that had already
been published in August 2002, because these reports were
superficial attempts to focus public attention on the Institute.
As to the other 5 reports, the evaluation of their public appeal
was positive. Their scores regarding political relevance were
mixed; and with regard to scientific value they concluded that
none of the reports presented new scientific evidence. The
committee was "not confident in the conclusions" of two
of the reports, and in general, there were critical remarks about
the cost-benefit analyses.
This evaluation could thus be used by both
parties. Lomborg´s supporters, including the prime minister,
stressed the positive evaluation of their readability and
relevance to the public, whereas his critics stressed that the
scientific and economic aspects were unsound.
The evaluation did not lead to any
consequences for the Institute. Problems with referees have
continued. An expert reviewing a report on extreme climate events
in the autumn of 2003, felt he was badly treated by Lomborg and his
staff, which once again made some stir in the Danish media.
Lomborg had previously announced that he would
leave his position as the director of the IMV institute
prematurely. After the successful conclusion of the
"Copenhagen Consensus" conference, time had come for
this. In mid June of 2004, there was some stir in the Danish
printed media because it was revealed that criticism of
Lomborg´s book from Danish climate experts had been repressed
for years by the head of the Danish Meteorological Institute.
This stir may have contributed to Lomborg´s sudden announcement
on 22nd June that he would resign as director and return to his
former position at Aarhus Universtiy by August 1st 2004.
However, Lomborg continued to work as a
consultant for the IMV institute 20 hours per month, his task
being the follow-up on the Copenhagen Consensus conference. This
lasted until the end of November 2005, when the contract between
Lomborg and IMV was terminated. The reason for this, according to
Danish media, was that the follow-up had been completed, and that
the preparation of a new Copenhagen Consensus conference was
outside the scope of the IMV.
Lomborg´s successor as the director of the
IMV institute took up his position on Nov. 4th 2004. This was
Peter Calow, born 1947, coming from a position as a professor of
zoology at Sheffield University in England. His main interest has
been the ecotoxicology of invertebrates. In addition to his
position as professor, he was for the period 1991 - 1995 director
of the Institute of Environmental Sciences and Technology, and
for the period 1996 - 2003 he was director of Environmental
Business Network. He has served as adviser for EU and the British
government in environmental and ecotoxicological matters. In
2000, he was given The order of the British Empire for his
efforts in the environmental field. He is a member of the EU
scientific commitee on health and the environment.
Calow had the intent to increase the scientific
quality of the reports from the institute. However, it soon appeared
that he did not have Lomborg´s ability to get media attention.
The right-wing politicians expressed disappointment that statements
from the IMV were no longer provocative and unusual, and political
support to the institute dwindled. In September 2006, Calow chose to
leave his
position, and from July 1st 2007, IMV was changed into a department of
the Danish Economic Council, and thus no longer exists as a separate
institute.