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THE DECISION OF THE DANISH MINISTRY OF RESEARCH
ON DEC. 17TH, 2003, concerning
A COMPLAINT LODGED BY BJØRN LOMBORG ON FEBRUARY 13TH, 2003.
A summary
Background: Bjørn Lomborg (BL) lodged a complaint to the Danish
Minister of Research, Helge Sander, in a letter dated Feb. 13th.
In this letter, he made a brief statement that UVVU (= The Danish
Committees on Scientific Dishonesty) did not have the right to
bring its verdict that his publication, The Skeptical
Environmentalist (TSE), is deemed to fall within the concept of
objective scientific dishonesty, and is clearly contrary to the
standards of good scientific practice. This claim was supported
by a "responsum" of more than 20 pages written by Peter
Pagh, Professor of Environmental Law at the Copenhagen
University, in which Pagh argues that the decision of UVVU was
unjustified. BL sent supplementary information to the Minister on
March 4th.
The Ministry gathered comments from the
National Social Science Research Council and from UVVU. The
ministry furthermore received complaints from the following
persons: 1) from Lars Thomsen, January 17th. (pro-Lomborg) 2)
from Kåre Fog, March 15th (anti-Lomborg) 3) from Arthur Rörsch,
April 7th (pro-Lomborg) 4) from Mette Hertz and Henrik Stiesdal,
April 23rd (anti-Lomborg)
All four complaints were rejected by the
Ministry on July 10th, on the grounds that only persons having an
essential individual interest in the decision had the right to
complain, whereas people whose interest is of an ídealistic,
non-personal character, do not have this right.
The final decision of the minister, published
Dec. 17th 2003, encompasses 70 pages. The first 28 pages are a
review of the case, with quotations of relevant letters, whereas
the rest contains the Ministry´s arguments on a long series of
items. Its final conclusion (p. 69) is as follows: "For the
reasons referred to above the Ministry finds that it must return
the case to UVVU. At the same time, the Ministry declares that
the treatment of this case by UVVU has, in its opinion, been
reprehensible. "
The most important points of criticism were
the following:
Item 5.1.2: The concept of "good
scientific practice". Peter Pagh has alleged that UVVU was
not entitled to make decisions on "good scientific
practice", because this phrase is not mentioned in the
statutes of UVVU. In comments from the Ministry's working group
concerning rules of ethics in research, which was established on
February 13th 2003, it is argued that UVVU can nevertheless
discuss this concept, because they can apply the principle of
"the less contained in the more". They are entitled to
discuss the concept in the premises for their decision. However,
there is no definition of "good scientific practice",
and therefore this concept cannot be a part of the decision. The
working party notes that there has been much discussion as to
whether the norms for "good scientific practice" are
the same in social science as in the exact sciences, and points
out that the Social Science Research Council has made statements
that the works of other scientists must be cited in such a way
that their points of view are clearly understandable from the
text and not distorted. The working party concluded that the
citing of violation of "good scientific practice" in
UVVU´s decision is misleading, because the reader may believe
that this judgement is a part of the decision, and not a part of
the premises. The consequences of this for the accused person are
potentially so grave, that this cannot be accepted. The working
party therefore decided that this error made by UVVU is so
serious that their decision cannot be accepted, and the that case
must be treated anew. The Ministry requested that, in any future
case, UVVU coordinate its decisions with the recommendations of
the Social Science Research Council.
Item 5.1.3. The concept of "objective
scientific dishonesty" In the statutes of UVVU, it is stated
that they can treat cases of "misleading application of
statistical methods" and "distorted interpretation of
results and distorted conclusions." It is not completely
clear from these formulations whether these acts must be
deliberate, and this lack of clarity means that a person can be
accused of these acts even if they were not deliberate. The
Ministry accepts that UVVU, in the present case as well as in
previous cases, uses a working method where they first evaluate
if there is a case of objective dishonesty, and after that
investigates whether this dishonesty was deliberate. However,
this implies that the concept of "objective dishonesty"
be a part of the premises, not of the conclusions. The ministry
finds that a splitting-up of the dishonesty cannot be repeated in
the conclusion, because this may create a misleading impression
of the conclusion proper, viz. that in the opinion of UVVU, this
was not a case of dishonesty in the understanding of the
statutes. However, the Ministry does not find that this error is
so serious that it can by itself cause the case to be returned to
UVVU.
Item 6.1: Missing information on the basis of
the decision According to the "official principle", any
public authority must ensure that all relevant information has
been obtained. In the Ministry´s opinion, UVVU has not done
that. They have presented no documentation detailing exactly at
which points BL has been biased in his selection of data and in
his argumentation, and no grounds are given as to why UVVU agrees
with the complaining party. It is insufficient merely to present
criticism of a scientist´s working methods. UVVU has to relate
to this criticism and decide whether it is justified, and why.
Because UVVU has not accomplished these two tasks, their decision
is not valid, and the case must be returned to UVVU for fresh
consideration.
Item 6.2: Is the book TSE a scientific
publication which may be evaluated by UVVU ? The Ministry reviews
the 4 arguments mentioned by UVVU why the book should be
considered a scientific publication. These are: 1) BL designates
himself as "Associate professor of Statistics at the
Institute of Social Science at Aarhus University". 2) The
publication makes extensive use of notes and references. 3) In
the yearbook of Aarhus University for 2001, the book is listed
under the heading: "Publications/Research
publications/monographs." 4) It is widely regarded in the
public as a scientific publication. As to point 4, the ministry
argues that this claim cannot be tested and is therefore of no
value. The Ministry also rejects the three other arguments,
simply by stating that these are insufficient to prove that the
publication is scientific. Their conclusion, therefore, is that
UVVU has not documented that the book is scientific. As they have
not done this, their decision is invalid, and the case is
returned to them for reconsideration.
Item 6.5 The importance of peer review The
Ministry criticizes UVVU on this point for using a double
standard. Firstly, UVVU writes much about peer review as an
important type of quality control in science. Next, the Ministry
cites the "kronik" published by Chris Harrison in
Politiken on March 4th, 2003, where he writes that Lomborg´s
book was not accepted until it had been thoroughly reviewed by
four acknowledged scientists. The Ministry, in a letter to UVVU,
asked if this was new information to them, and they answered:
"UVVU did not investigate on what basis the publisher
decided to publish the book, and we have therefore no information
about a possible peer review". To this, the Ministry
comments that it is strange that UVVU first lays great stress on
the importance of peer review, and then completely fails to
investigate whether TSE was peer-reviewed. They also point to a
quote from Raven and Wilson, viz. "We are deeply disturbed
that Cambridge University Press would publish and promote an
error-filled, poorly referenced and non-peer-reviewed work."
The Ministry criticizes UVVU for agreeing with Pimm and Harvey
without investigating whether this claim is correct. However, the
Ministry states that because this subject has not been considered
by UVVU, it cannot either be considered in a new hearing of the
case.
6.6.2 Hearing of the involved parties before
publishing the final decision The Ministry feels unable to decide
for certain if BL should have been allowed to comment on the
final decision before it was published. - But see item 6.8.
6.7 The tone of the language According to the
Ministry, the language of the decision was not sober. They cite
the following examples: P. 2: Other members thought that the term
"bad science" should not be an obstacle to a complaint
being admitted for consideration by UVVU. P. 4: Bjørn Lomborg´s
most egregious distortions and feeblest analyses are his
citations of cost-benefit calculations. P. 7: Lomborg is giving
skepticism - and statisticians - a bad name. P. 7-8: BL cynically
spurns this method, because such estimates sound more ominous. P.
8: The chapter on acid rain is equally poorly researched and
presented. P. 9: . . the prime example in our time of someone who
distorts statistics and statements to serve his own political
end. The Ministry writes that even though most of the cited
sentences are quotations or indirect quotations, UVVU should not
quote text that does not meet the norms of good administrative
practice. When UVVU criticizes BL for smearing others, they
should not smear BL themselves. The Ministry demands that UVVU
uses a more urbane tone in the future, but does not consider this
point so serious that it by itself demands a new treatment.
6.8 Publication of UVVU´s decision. In his
response, Peter Pagh stresses that the statutes of UVVU prevents
the decision from being made public. But although this
possibility is not specifically included in the list of what UVVU
is entitled to do, there have been several precedents for UVVU
decisions being published. The decisive point is that UVVU's
decisions are covered by legal statutes giving right of access to
documents. In the present case, as in previous ones, there were a
number of Danish and foreign journalists who demanded this right.
They were denied this by UVVU, but at the same time they were
told when the decision would be announced, so that the
publication for the press on January 6th 2002 could be considered
the point of time when they were given their right to access.
However, the Ministry discusses which types of information are
open to the right of access. Information on private matters are
not included in this right. Danish law states that in the case of
persons in leading positions, disciplinary actions as serious as,
or more serious than, a formal warning are covered by the law of
right to access. However, when BL published his book, he was not
in a leading position, and therefore this paragraph is not
relevant in the present case. That is, information concerning the
position of a person who is not a leader may be kept secret. When
balancing the requirement to protect private information with
that of the public's right to know, there will at least be a
requirement that the person concerned be given a right to comment
on the decision before it is published. However, cf. item 6.6, BL
was not given this right, and this, in the Ministry´s opinion,
was an obvious error. Whether the decision could have been
published after the hearing of BL, cannot be known. It would
depend on the result of the hearing. The Ministry writes,
however, that the right of access concerns the decision, not the
premises of the decision. And the claims of objective dishonesty
and violation of good scientific practice should not have been
decisions. UVVU were entitled to mention these points as a part
of their premises, but not as a part of the decision. Therefore,
because they made the error of formulating the premises as if
they were the decision, they made the error of publishing the
premises, which they were not entitled to do. In conclusion, the
Ministry states that because the damage to BL caused by the
publication cannot be remedied, a new hearing of the case would
not change this. But the Ministry expresses criticism that BL was
not heard.
This summary was written by Kåre Fog Dec. 19th, 2003.